The fixed currency rate had created a vast black market for US dollars and
squeezed the country's economy. Nigeria's central bank had long been expected
to to allow the naira to be more flexible and trade at a market-driven rate.
The naira is fixed at 197 to the US dollar, but the black market rate has
soared to 370 in recent months.
The currency fix was introduced in February 2015 to stop the naira from
falling when lower oil prices sparked trouble for Nigeria's economy. But a
prolonged period of holding a currency at an artificial level often has a
disruptive effect as foreign companies become reluctant to import goods when
they are paid at distorted levels.For months, Nigeria has been in the grips of
a severe foreign currency shortage. As oil prices plummeted, so did the
country's foreign currency earnings, meaning there was less cash to pay for
imports. Unlike other major petroleum producers, such as Russia, Nigeria
refused to devalue its currency. The country's president wanted Nigerian
businesses to make what they could not import and to diversify the economy away
from the oil industry.
But that policy led to widespread shortages of raw materials, machine parts
and supermarket products. The new exchange rate will be welcomed by businesses
that were forced onto the black market to pay for their imports. On occasions
they were paying almost double the official rate for dollars. Foreign investors
may also be tempted back as they will get more value for their money. But the
new exchange rate is likely to push up already high inflation. And that will
hurt tens of millions of Nigerians who live in abject poverty. In May,
Nigeria's central bank governor had warned a recession was
"imminent". A lower value of the naira will make domestic products
cheaper and competing imports more expensive, which is hoped to help the
struggling economy.Companies have suffered from the crisis, being forced onto
the black market to pay for imports of goods and equipment.
The expected devaluation is thought to also bring back investor confidence
as foreign companies had found it increasingly difficult to do business in
Nigeria. A number of foreign airlines recently stopped flying to Nigeria after they were
unable to repatriate up to $600m (£417m) in ticket sales, according to the
International Air Transport Association (IATA).
No comments:
Post a Comment