Oil prices could fall further says International Energy Agency

Oil prices could fall further says International Energy Agency

Oil prices may have further to fall despite stabilising in recent months - and even beginning to rise modestly - because of a massive oversupply the International Energy Agency (IEA) has said.

The IEA said lower oil prices were likely to last well into 2016.

The agency added the world oil market was unable to absorb the huge volumes of oil now being produced.

It follows the massive drop in prices which started last summer.

The price of Brent crude fell sharply last year from $115 a barrel in June to $45 a barrel in January.

The current price of Brent crude is $59 a barrel.

The fall in prices has led oil firms to cut back investment in exploration, while North Sea oil has come under significant pressure.

All seven major global oil firms have also reported annual declines in profit as a result of lower oil prices.

'Oversupply'

Only last month the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) forecast North Sea oil and gas revenues would fall to below 0.1% of GDP over the coming decades.

It said the tax take from North Sea oil and gas had already fallen by 80% in the last three years.

"The oil market was massively oversupplied in the second quarter of 2015, and remains so today," the IEA said in its monthly report.

"It is equally clear that the market's ability to absorb that oversupply is unlikely to last. Onshore storage space is limited," it said, adding: "Something has to give."

"The bottom of the market may still be ahead."

Core members of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (Opec) have continued to produce the same level of oil in the past year despite falling oil prices in an attempt to regain market share.

US oil production has also soared in recent years, as fracking - or the process of extracting oil from shale rock by injecting fluids into the ground - has revolutionised oil production in the country.

Source - BBC